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How Long Do Newly Promoted Teams Stay in the Premier League?

August 16, 2015

- Grant Whittington

It has always been one of the great assertions that newly promoted Premier League clubs are destined for the drop in their first season. While this has certainly been the case in several instances, however, there are statistics which state that 56% of all newly promoted teams actually survive during their first season. In this respect, clubs that are new to the top flight are arguably more likely to retain their spot than they are to face relegation.

The Truth About Premier League Survival

In total, there have been 65 teams promoted to the Premier League since its inception, including the three that came from the Championship last season. Of the 62 sides to have complete one season or more, 27 have been relegated at the first time of asking, with a further eight being relegated after two years in the top flight. 12 clubs have survived five or more years as established EPL clubs, while there is a list of 10 that have avoided relegation since earning promotion from the Football League.

So while 44% of newly promoted teams end up being relegated (including Burnley and QPR last season), successful Championship sides tend to last 3.6 seasons on average in the Premier League. This is far better than pundits will have you believe, as despite the gulf in resources the physicality and strength, the enthusiasm of promoted teams often catches Premier League giants unawares. The fact remains that Championship sides are increasingly equipped to survive for 38 games in the league so long as they are able to make smart financial investments and recruit players that can make them competitive.

What Will This Season Hold For Newly Promoted Sides?

So what will this year hold for last season’s promoted sides? After two rounds of Premier League matches only Norwich City have recorded a victory (at Sunderland), although Watford impressed during their 2-2 at Everton on the opening day. Bournemouth have also showed impressive tenacity and promise during their two 1-0 defeats to date, although concerns have been raised about the Cherries’ goal scoring potential in the top flight.

Of this years’ crop, Norwich seem best placed to survive. Not only have they retained the core of their EPL squad from two years ago, but they also have a hungry and ambitious young manager who is keen to succeed. As for Watford and Bournemouth, only time will tell what category of promoted team they fall into.

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