Then And Now: Who Will Win The Flat Jockey’s Championship This Season?
August 23, 2016
Given the focus that is given to individual races and classics such as the St. Leger, it easy to forget the fact that the Flat Jockey’s Championship is set to be decided by 15th October. Determined by the number of wins secured over the course of the season, there is scarcely six months left for riders to stake their claim for the title ahead of their rivals.
We still have the final classic of the season to be contested, however, while there is plenty of time for those in contention to achieve one of the most prestigious honours in racing.
The Season so far: Who have emerged as the Key Favourites for the Championship?
The current leader and UK Flat Jockeys Championship favourite is Silvestre De Sousa, who has enjoyed a steady and consistent rather than spectacular season to date. He has recorded a total of 73 wins since the commencement of the Championship on April 30th, with a win-rate of 16% from 466 outings. De Sousa has also earned a relatively modest £529,291 from his victories, while he is profiting largely from his level of activity and participation in flat races.
De Sousa is 8 wins ahead of his nearest rival Jim Crowley, who has won 65 of the 397 races that he has contested. He is also 15 clear of third place James Doyle, who has managed to secure 58 of his 309 outings at an impressive win-rate of 19%. Neither of these are expected to be able to overhaul De Sousa before the climax of the Championship on 16th October, but is there anyone else who can achieve this feat?
Why Ryan Moore is one to Watch in the Next Six Weeks
Fourth place Ryan Moore may well be an outside-bet to claim the Championship, and in many ways this talented jockey has endured a superior season to the front-running De Sousa. He has won an impressive 57 of just 256 races, for example, equating to a success rate of 22%. He has also won two classics with the horse Minding, romping home in the 1,000 Guinea Stakes and the Epsom Oaks. With more than £5 million banked in prize money too, he could pose a huge threat to De Sousa depending on the number of races he competes in during the next six weeks.
Ultimately, the smart money is on De Sousa maintaining his consistent form and lifting the Flat Jockeys Championship in October. With pedigree riders such as Moore also in contention, however, much will depend on the remaining races of the season and the remaining classic the St. Leger Stakes in December.