Italy v Sweden Predictions, Betting Tips and Previews

November 11, 2017

- Grant Whittington

San Siro - World Cup Qualification Play-Off

Italy host Sweden in Milan on Monday night needing a win, by two clear goals, to secure their passage to next summer's World Cup in Russia.

Past Meetings

Prior to their 1-0 defeat in the first leg in Sweden on Friday night, Italy had an excellent record against the Swedes. In their five meetings prior to Friday, Italy had won four and drawn one - dating back to 2000.

Before Friday, Sweden's last win over Italy came via a 1-0 win in 1998.

Team News

Italy will have to make do without star midfielder Marco Verratti, who misses the game through suspension, after picking up a booking in their first leg. The PSG man is likely to be replaced by either Napoli's Jorginho or Federico Bernardeschi of Juventus for Monday's clash.

Sweden are likely to name an unchanged line up from the first leg, with Emil Forsberg and Marcus Berg the key men in attack - and Manchester United's Victor Lindelof and veteran Andreas Granqvist - formerly of Wigan Athletic - in defence.

Italy v Sweden Preview and Predictions

Missing out on the World Cup next summer would be a disaster for Italy and their under pressure manager Gian Piero Ventura, with the Azzurri missing out on the World Cup stage for their first time in 60 years.

They were poor in Sweden in the first leg, and a battling Sweden deserved their victory, and they know head into Monday's game full of confidence - with Italy rocking.

An away goal for Sweden would be a disaster for Italy, and if their experienced back line can keep things tight they have a real chance to overturn this - with the pressure set to be cranked right up.

Given the stakes of this game, it looks likely that Italy will come out strongly and win this game - with a home victory priced at 8/15.

Italy need to at least two goals to turn this tie around, and with the potential for Sweden needing to score to drag the tie away from Italy this game could be a lot more open than the first leg. With that in mind, an over 2.5 goals bet looks to be a good option - priced at 6/5.

Recommended Bets

Italy to win 3-1 at 14/1

The Italian simply have to win, and win well, on Monday night to get a late place at the World Cup next summer. Given the pressure and expectation placed on them they should have enough experience to pull it off. Sweden will be a tough nut to crack, and Italy may have to wait for the second half to get their goals, and the visitors do possess talent in attack.

Ciro Immobile to score anytime at 5/6

Lazio striker Immobile has been in excellent form so far this season, scoring 18 goals in all competitions. He is set to lead the line again for Italy on Monday, flanked by Andrea Belotti and Lorenzo Insigne, and if he can recapture his club for his country then Sweden could be in for a tough evening.

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