The Den - FA Cup
Millwall host Brighton at the Den in the FA Cup quarter-finals on Sunday, giving both teams a great chance to reach the last four. The Premier League side are in better form, but the Lions have already upset top-flight opposition on their own patch this season.
Home form hasn’t counted for much in this fixture in recent season though. There hasn’t been a home win in the last 11 meetings between the sides, with six draws and five away wins in that time. Only three of those matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
Murray Wallace is out for the rest of the season, which is a serious blow for Neil Harris at both ends of the pitch. The full-back has been the hero for the Lions in the last two rounds of the cup, scoring a dramatic late winner against Everton and the winner at Wimbledon. Tom Bradshaw is also out, but Conor McLaughlin could be in contention.
Pascal Gross could be fit for this game after missing the last few weeks with a hamstring injury. Florin Andone is set to miss out though, after he tweaked his groin warming up for Brighton’s game at Crystal Palace last weekend. That opened the door for Glenn Murray, who took his chance with both hands.
Millwall v Brighton Preview and Predictions
These two teams will rarely get a better opportunity to reach the FA Cup semi-finals, and enjoy a day out at Wembley in the process. Premier League outfit Brighton only need beat a team one point above the Championship’s relegation zone, while Millwall are on home soil and have avoided the big guns left in the competition.
The Lions are not in good form right now though. After winning away at Wimbledon in the last round of the cup, they then went and beat high-flying Derby Count on the road too. It’s all gone wrong since then, with Millwall losing their last four matches. The Lions pulled off a dramatic late win against another Premier League side at the Den in the fourth round though, dumping Everton out with a 3-2 victory.
That should give the home fans some hope, although Millwall still start as the underdogs in the betting. They are 11/4 to win the game inside 90 minutes, while Brighton are 11/9 for the same bet. The Seagulls have put an awful run of form behind them, which saw them only win once in 12 Premier League matches. They’re looking for their third straight victory this weekend, having emerged triumphant in the M23 derby on Saturday.
This game can of course go all the way to extra-time and penalties, so you may be interested in backing one team or the other to qualify. Millwall are 11/8 to reach the semi-finals by any method, while Brighton are 4/6 in the same market.
Under 2.5 goals at 4/6
This bet would’ve paid out in eight of the last 11 meetings between the teams, and Saturday’s match is sure to be tense with so much at stake.
Brighton to win and under 2.5 goals at 10/3
Even though it’s likely to be a tight one, the visitors come with Premier League quality and are the favourites to progress to the semi-finals.