Rodney Parade - FA Cup
Premier League leaders Manchester City head to mid-table League Two outfit Newport County as part of this weekend’s FA Cup action. Anything other than a victory for the visitors would go down as one of the greatest cup shocks of all time.
These clubs have only ever faced each other three times, and not since 1962. City won a League Cup meeting that year, and also beat Newport home and away the only time they were in the same division, which was in the second tier in 1946/47.
County manager Mike Flynn has no injuries or suspensions to worry about coming into this game. Goalkeeper Jason Day will start this game between the sticks with a clear mind and no threat of any new arrivals to his family during the 90 minutes.
Visiting boss Pep Guardiola will surely take the opportunity to rotate his team, although he rarely makes sweeping changes in the FA Cup. Benjamin Mendy, Vincent Kompany and Claudio Bravo are all injured and set to miss out.
Newport County v Manchester City Preview and Predictions
Newport recorded a famous victory over Middlesbrough last week to seal this monster of a fifth round tie against defending Premier League champions City. Despite the lowly status of their opponents, City and their manager probably aren’t relishing a trip to a pitch that cut up badly in that game against Boro.
Rodney Parade is also used for rugby, and the away team are going to be in very different surroundings from what they’re used to. City were dumped out of the FA Cup by Wigan last season, so they’re no stranger to an upset.
However, the Blues are usually professional in these sort of games, and it would be an incredible shock if they don’t get the business done on Saturday. The bookmakers certainly aren’t giving the home team much chance of a result, with Newport a massive 35/1 to win this game.
Even the draw is out at 15/1, but what an opportunity that’d be for the Exiles to enjoy a game at the Etihad. Having said that, it’s doubtful City will slip up this weekend, although there isn’t much value at all in the Blues in the outright market. City are 1/16 for the win, which probably isn’t even worth including in an accumulator.
City to win to nil at 5/6
This bet looks like a solid way to get the odds on an away win much closer to the even money mark.
City to win and over 4.5 goals at 5/4
This bet tips you over even money, and if City can put six past Chelsea, they’re capable of destroying Newport too.