predictions-and-tips

Southampton v Bournemouth Predictions, Betting Tips and Previews

September 16, 2019

- Grant Whittington

St Mary’s - Premier League

This south coast derby takes place under the Friday night lights as Southampton host rivals Bournemouth at St Mary’s in the weekend’s first fixture. The two teams have identical records at the start of the new season, with both clubs sitting in the top half of the Premier League table.

Past Meetings

Last season’s corresponding fixture ended in an entertaining 3-3 draw in April, with Callum Wilson scoring a late equaliser for Bournemouth. That followed a quieter goalless draw at the Vitality Stadium earlier in the campaign. Southampton have won six of the last 11 meetings between the teams, with the Cherries only tasting victory on one occasion, back in March 2016.

Team News

Nathan Redmond looks set to miss this game for the home team, although he should be back from injury soon. Saints boss Ralph Hasenhuttl has no other absentees, with Kevin Danso back from suspension after the full-back was sent off in Southampton’s 1-1 draw at Manchester United just before the international break.

Eddie Howe has a much bigger injury list on his hands, with eight players currently sidelined. Simon Francis, Charlie Daniels and Junior Stanislas are all out with long-term knee problems, while Dan Gosling and David Brooks are expected to miss another month of action. Lloyd Kelly is nearing a return to the fold, but there's no return date yet for Adam Smith and Arnaut Groeneveld.

Southampton v Bournemouth Preview and Predictions

Played five, won two, lost two, drawn one, minus one goal difference. Southampton and Bournemouth both have seven points so far this season, and both added three more to their tally at the weekend. So, will they still have the same record after Friday’s encounter, or will one of the teams forge ahead with a victory?

Hosts Southampton are the 21/20 favourites to do just that, after securing a 1-0 win away to Sheffield United on Saturday courtesy of Moussa Djenepo’s second-half strike. The exciting 21-year-old epitomises the optimism swirling around St Mary’s that this is going to be a much more positive campaign than the last one, and this fixture is a real test of that.

Hasenhuttl has his team playing some lovely football, while they’ve put in solid performances against Man United and Liverpool in their two home fixtures so far. Bournemouth were excellent on home soil against Everton last weekend, with Wilson’s brace guiding the Cherries to a 3-1 victory over the Toffees.

Howe’s side don’t have a good record against Southampton though, so Bournemouth don’t look hugely tempting at 12/5. However, after a decent start to the season, the draw could be worth a look at 5/2 as those identical records remain intact for another weekend.

Recommended Bets

Score draw at 10/3

With only a couple of goals in the goals scored column separating the sides and after a six-goal thriller in this fixture last season, this could be a good value bet for this weekend.

Djenepo to score first at 14/1

This bet could also be excellent value considering the young Mali international is Southampton’s leading scorer so far this term, scoring the only goal of the game last weekend and within two minutes of coming off the bench against Brighton last month.

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