Southampton v Brighton Predictions, Betting Tips and Previews
January 29, 2018
St Mary’s - Premier League
Just a single point separates these two in the Premier League relegation dogfight, as Southampton welcome Brighton to St Mary’s in this south coast derby. The stakes couldn’t be higher, with the Saints moving out of the drop zone with a win, and the Seagulls having the chance to move four points clear of the bottom three.
Glenn Murray cancelled out Steven Davis’ early opener when the teams met at the end of October, with the game ending in a 1-1 draw. That was the first time the clubs had faced each other since the 2011/12 Championship season, when each side won their home fixture 3-0.
Charlie Austin continues to be a big miss for struggling Southampton, with the striker set to be out until early March at the earliest due to a thigh injury. There could be better news for Mauricio Pellegrino concerning Ryan Bertrand and Sam McQueen, with both players rated as 50/50 for Wednesday’s game.
Visiting boss Chris Hughton has a trio of players ruled out, including long-term absentee Steve Sidwell. Jurgen Locadia is expected to be miss another couple of weeks with a hamstring problem, while Izzy Brown is out after suffering a cruciate knee ligament injury. Leonardo Ulloa could make his second debut for Brighton after joining on loan from Leicester.
Southampton v Brighton Preview and Predictions
We’re getting into the territory of relegation six pointers, as we approach the final third of the season. Both Southampton and Brighton have 14 games left to preserve their Premier League status, which could make this game a tight and nervy affair. A win for either team though could push them up towards the top half of the table.
Goals have proven hard to come by for both sides, which makes Austin’s injury even more disastrous for the Saints considering he looked like he was getting back into great form. Pellegrino’s side are averaging exactly a goal a game this season, so if they keep this particular statistic up while also keeping a clean sheet, your bet on the 1-0 home win will pay out at 5/1.
A bet on Southampton as the outright winner is priced at 4/5, while the visitors are available at 5/1. The Seagulls snatched victory from the jaws of an FA Cup replay at Middlesbrough on Saturday, and that was their first away win since they beat Swansea 1-0 at the start of November. It’s entirely possible that the magnitude of the result has a major impact on what we see out on the pitch, so what could be a nervy draw looks tempting at 64/25.
Southampton to win to nil at 13/8
Hughton’s side have only scored 17 goals in their 24 games so far this term, while Southampton have the joint 12th best defensive record in the Premier League, despite currently lying in 18th position.
Brighton to win 1-0 at 12/1
The Seagulls’ last two away wins have ended 1-0, and a repeat of this scoreline would be a major boost in their quest for survival. Predict debutant Ulloa to get the goal and the odds increase to 40/1.