St Mary’s - Premier League
After their seismic victory over Swansea on Tuesday night, Southampton are all but safe - they still have a job to do against Manchester City though. The Blues meanwhile have one more record left to conquer.
City were 2-1 winners at the Etihad back in November, and won 3-0 at St Mary’s last season. The year before though, Southampton won an entertaining game on the south coast 4-2, but that’s their only victory over the Citizens in their last nine attempts.
Steven Davis and Jan Bednarek have both been ruled out of this one for the home side, although Mark Hughes could have Mario Lemina available after a hamstring problem. The Gabonese midfielder is struggling though, and only has a small chance of being fit.
Sergio Aguero is the only player definitely out for the visitors, although David Silva is a doubt after missing City’s midweek game for personal reasons. Pep Guardiola could give Benjamin Mendy a start at left-back, with the Frenchman coming off the bench in three of the last four games.
Southampton v Manchester City Preview and Predictions
Manchester City sent three huge Premier League records tumbling with their win over Brighton on Wednesday, and they’ve got one more on their minds at the weekend. That’s not good news for Southampton, although anything other than a heavy defeat will see them survive relegation.
After all the controversy surrounding their cancelled hotel, Southampton did their talking on the pitch as they recorded a massive win at the Liberty Stadium on Tuesday courtesy of Manolo Gabbiadini’s late strike. The Saints are now three points above 18th-placed Swansea City, with a goal difference advantage of nine going into the final day.
As long as they avoid a pasting at City’s hands - which is certainly possible if the Blues are in the mood - they’ll stay up. If you think they can inflict just a third defeat of the season on their visitors, Southampton are 7/1 in the betting.
City meanwhile are 7/15 for the victory. Guardiola’s side set the record for most wins, most goals and most points in midweek, and have the chance to be the first team to reach 100 points in a Premier League season. It would take a brave prediction to bet against them, but if you think they’ll fall short of that magical mark with a draw, that’s priced at 4/1.
City to win and both teams to score at 2/1
Southampton have averaged exactly a goal a game coming into this fixture. They know that a goal or two will surely keep them up, so expect the hosts to go for it.
City to win 3-0 at 11/1
The Blues have won by this scoreline on two of their last three visits to St Mary’s, but if you fancy Southampton to nick a goal then a 3-1 away win is priced at 45/4.